New Fx Possibilities

By on May 10, 2011

Dollar at Seven Week Large
Currency markets ended up active very last week and Friday’s US work report showed much better than expected outcomes. The report showed a deceleration of US work losses but this time the response of traders was various. In the past great financial news put downward pressure on the dollar as traders dumped dollar denominated assets in favor of increased yielding currencies. Friday’s news sent the greenback to a seven week high against other major currencies offering a lot of with Forex trading opportunities.

 

Dollar Stock Correlation Shifting
Several currency traders noticed Friday’s final results as a sign that the dollar’s typical correlation to the stock market is changing. Typically the dollar rises when the economic news is negative triggering investors to seek out the secure haven of the dollar. For the previous year the dollar has typically followed the lead of stock markets. When stock markets are performing

well the dollar falls and if the news is poor the dollar rallies. Traders are now betting that the United States will be the initial produced country to recover from the worldwide recession.

 

Euro/Dollar and the S & P 500
Previously in the 12 months the correlation between the Euro/dollar price and the Regular & Poor’s 500 index was 50%. Simply put the euro rose and fell following the S & P 500 index 50% of the time. That hyperlink has slipped lately to thirty% to forty%.� Several now see the euro/dollar pair breaking out of this pattern. Greg Salvaggio of Tempus Consulting stated, “I assume this could be the begin of the unwinding of the inverse stocks-dollar correlation. We’ve seen improvement in housing, in manufacturing output and now plainly in the job atmosphere.”

Indicators of US Recovery
Numerous traders see indication of US recovery in modern housing, production and employment info. Although the US economic climate is not fully out of h

azard numerous are optimistic. President Obama explained that the US might be seeing” the very beginnings” of the recession’s conclude. Currency trade prices are bound to be impacted by this week’s financial calendar. The Federal Reserve meets Tuesday and the Treasury options to auction off $seventy five billion in US credit card debt. Hopefully the news from the US will keep on to be constructive.

 

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